Risk of Spill

Monday 12 December, 2011

Declaration of Low Risk of Spill for Goulburn and Campaspe Systems

The Resource Manager for northern Victorian regulated water systems today announced that water held in spillable water accounts (SWA) in the Goulburn and Campaspe systems is now available for use or trade following the declaration of a low risk of spill in both systems.

“Over the past month, the combined effect of decreasing inflows and increased releases at Lake Eildon and Lake Eppalock has been enough to confirm that there is now a low risk of spill in the remainder of this season in the Goulburn and Campaspe systems,” said Dr Mark Bailey, Resource Manager. “Water share holders who have water in SWAs will now have the remaining balance of their SWAs returned to their Allocation Bank Accounts for immediate use or trade.”

“The risk of spill is considered to be low when the probability of filling during the season is less than 1 chance in 10,” explained Dr Bailey. “This is a statistical assessment, which means it is still possible for Lake Eildon or Lake Eppalock to fill later this season. Customer accounts will not be affected should this happen. However, we must be clear that today’s declaration is about the availability of allocated water resources and not a statement about the potential for flooding this season.”

Lake Eildon Risk of Spill Indicator

 


Lake Eppalock Risk of Spill Indicator

Next Announcement on Risk of Spill

This is the last spill assessment for the 2011/12 season. The next risk of spill assessment in the Murray, Goulburn and Campaspe systems will be issued on Monday 2 July 2012.

Outlooks for the risk of spill during the 2012/13 season will accompany seasonal allocation outlooks issued in February 2012 and May 2012.

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